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January 22, 2025
Global Quantum Budgets Set to Surge by Nearly 20% as Confidence Grows Globally
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QuEra Predictions for 2025
As we enter 2025, the International Year of Quantum celebrates the breakthroughs and collaborations driving quantum technology toward transformative impact. This designation reflects the growing global recognition of quantum’s potential to solve intractable problems and unlock new frontiers of innovation. At QuEra, we’re proud to contribute to advancements that will reshape industries and redefine possibilities.
The quantum landscape is evolving at an unprecedented pace, making 2025 a pivotal year for businesses, researchers, and policymakers alike. In this blog, we share key insights and predictions on the trends and milestones that will shape the industry’s future.
We believe the conversation around quantum computing will shift from whether quantum technology will achieve a transformative impact to when it will achieve that impact. The question will now be when quantum computing will cross key milestones like practical fault tolerance, commercialization, and widespread adoption.
The shift will be caused by incremental yet steady advances in quantum hardware, algorithmic improvements, and early application successes in fields like drug discovery and optimization. With investments increasing globally and clear technical roadmaps from leading quantum companies, stakeholders will see quantum computing as an inevitable part of the future technological landscape.
Governments will begin to move from exploratory funding to making outcome-driven investments. National programs will prioritize achieving specific milestones, such as reaching certain qubit counts, establishing quantum-safe cryptography standards, or enabling fault-tolerant quantum operations. Additionally, national programs will expand their focus from hardware to also include software and applications.
National funding will prioritize public benefits by supporting innovation in sectors like defense, healthcare, and advanced manufacturing. Programs will partner with trusted allies and trading partners to limit IP and security concerns.
On-premise machines will primarily be developed for high security and custom use cases. Industries like defense, government, pharmaceuticals, and financial services are likely to pursue on-premise quantum deployments to retain control over data processing.
Cloud-based computing will continue to serve as the primary entry point for businesses exploring quantum technology. This allows for access to cutting-edge quantum technology without significant investment while offering a collaborative and flexible solution.
The co-design approach, where hardware and software are developed in parallel, will accelerate the pathway from research to real-world quantum solutions. With sustained collaboration between quantum hardware developers, software providers, and end-users, co-design will enable the creation of systems tailored to specific use cases.
Industries with complex computational demands and a high potential for quantum impact, such as healthcare, drug discovery, finance, and logistics, will likely be the earliest adopters of co-designed solutions.
Quantum Machine Learning (QML) is poised to transition from theoretical promise to practical utility, particularly in specialized applications where small datasets present challenges for classical models. By leveraging quantum principles, QML can extract meaningful insights from limited or complex data, offering a distinct advantage in scenarios where traditional AI techniques struggle to gain traction.
In fields like personalized medicine and climate modeling, where datasets are often sparse, noisy, or highly specialized, QML’s ability to encode and process information efficiently can reduce dependency on large datasets while simultaneously improving predictive accuracy. This shift not only minimizes data and energy requirements but also opens doors to new solutions in areas where obtaining vast amounts of training data is impractical or impossible.
QML’s strengths will be particularly impactful in unlocking insights from data-scarce environments, enabling advancements that were previously out of reach for classical AI methods.
QEC is the largest technical hurdle for achieving practical, fault-tolerant quantum computing. In 2025 we should expect targeted advances in QEC methods and technology, improving error rates, stabilizing qubit coherence, and reducing resource overhead.
Improvements will lead to the possibility of running increasingly complex algorithms on larger quantum systems, moving the industry closer to practical applications. Recent research by leading academics and QuEra has led to improvements in fault tolerance and this is expected to continue in 2025.
2025 marks a turning point for the quantum industry—a year defined by action, strategic focus, and measurable advancements. Breakthroughs in quantum error correction, algorithm co-design, and practical applications are set to reshape how quantum computing is perceived and adopted worldwide.
As we embrace the International Year of Quantum, we’re excited to share our journey and insights with you. Join us as we explore the trends and milestones shaping this transformative year.
